IMF下调柬埔寨2026年经济增长预期至3% 房地产与旅游业

[来源: CIR] [分类提示: NEWS] 标题: IMF Completes Cambodia Article IV Mission, Cuts 2026 Growth Forecast to 3% on Energy, Tourism and Property Risks Cambodia Investment Review The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has completed its 2026 Article IV consultation mission to Cambodia, lowering its forecast for the Kingdom’s economic growth to 3% in 2026 as higher energy prices, weaker tourism, trade policy uncertainty and continued weakness in the real estate sector are expected to weigh on economic activity. The mission, conducted between June 24 and July 8, involved discussions with senior officials from the Royal Government of Cambodia, the National Bank of Cambodia (NBC), private sector representatives and development partners. The IMF also outlined a series of fiscal, financial and structural reforms that it believes could strengthen Cambodia’s long-term growth outlook despite the current slowdown. Growth Expected to Slow Before Recovering According to the IMF, Cambodia’s economy has remained resilient despite successive global shocks. Real GDP growth eased to 5.3% in 2025, down from 6.0% in 2024, supported by strong exports, foreign direct investment (FDI) and continued infrastructure investment. However, domestic demand remained subdued while construction and the real estate sector continued to struggle. Read More: IMF Concluded 2025 Mission: Urges Cambodia to Boost Fiscal Buffers, Strengthen Banks, and Accelerate Reforms as Growth Slows The IMF now projects growth will slow further to 3% in 2026 before