AMRO预测柬埔寨2026年GDP增长4.9%
分类经济
事件时间2026年4月
地点柬埔寨
来源CIR
发布时间2026/04/06 13:05
详情描述
根据东盟与中日韩宏观经济研究办公室报告,柬埔寨经济保持稳健增长,但受中东冲突及全球能源供应影响存在下行风险。
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[来源: CIR] [分类提示: NEWS]
标题: Cambodia GDP Forecast at 4.9% in 2026 and Inflation at 2.9%, 5.2% Growth by 2027 — AMRO April Outlook Pre-Iran Conflict, With Significant Downside Risks Emerging
Cambodia Investment Review
Cambodia’s economy is forecast to grow 4.9 percent in 2026, with inflation rising to 2.9 percent, according to the latest outlook from ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office, although the projections are increasingly overshadowed by escalating geopolitical risks linked to the Middle East conflict and global energy supply disruptions.
The figures, published in AMRO’s ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook (AREO) 2026 on April 6, suggest Cambodia will maintain steady growth, before expanding further to 5.2 percent in 2027, with inflation easing back to 2.5 percent.
Read More: ADB Warns Middle East Conflict ‘Could Significantly Weaken Economic Growth’ in Asia; Cambodia Faces Near-Doubling Of Fuel Prices Since Conflict Started
However, the report itself makes clear that the regional outlook has shifted, with risks now tilted firmly to the downside due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East—raising questions over whether baseline forecasts, including Cambodia’s, were effectively set before the full impact of the Iran-linked escalation was reflected in global markets.
Cambodia outlook remains stable on paper
AMRO’s projections position Cambodia among ASEAN’s more resilient economies, with growth holding near 5 percent despite global uncertainty.
The Kingdom’s inflation trajectory also remains r