湄公河战略资本下调柬埔寨2026年GDP增长至2.5%

[来源: CIR] [分类提示: NEWS] 标题: MSC Report: Government Stimulus and Tourism Revival Could Determine Cambodia Avoiding Weakest Growth in Nearly Two Decades as 2026 Growth Forecast Cut to 2.5% Cambodia Investment Review Cambodia’s economic performance in 2026 may ultimately depend on whether the government can deliver meaningful fiscal stimulus and revive a struggling tourism sector, according to economist Stephen Higgins, who warned the Kingdom is on track for one of its weakest periods of economic growth in nearly two decades outside the COVID-19 pandemic. Presenting Mekong Strategic Capital’s latest economic outlook during the International Business Chamber (IBC) Open Meeting, Higgins lowered his 2026 GDP growth forecast to 2.5%, down from the firm’s earlier projection of around 4% made at the beginning of the year. He attributed the downgrade to a combination of geopolitical tensions, the Gulf conflict, the Thai border dispute, the ongoing crackdown on scam centres, a prolonged tourism downturn and continued weakness in Cambodia’s property market. While the near-term outlook has deteriorated, Higgins stressed that the economy’s trajectory is not set in stone, arguing that decisive policy action could still improve growth over the remainder of the year. Government Policy Could Shape the Second Half Higgins said the government’s response over the coming months could play a significant role in determining whether Cambodia avoids a prolonged slowdown. Read More: Cambodia’s ‘Two-Speed Economy’: Tourism Gap