经济学家预测：受全球油价冲击影响，柬埔寨2026年GDP增长或放缓至3%左右

[来源: CIR] [分类提示: NEWS] 标题: Economists Say “Smooth The Shock, Target The Pain, and Address Potential Shortages” as 2026 GDP Forecast To ~3% Amid Global Oil Shock Cambodia Investment Review Cambodia’s economic outlook for 2026 could moderate toward 3% GDP growth under current conditions, according to economists speaking at the International Business Chamber Cambodia (IBC) luncheon titled “Five Economists Walk Into a Room. The discussion brought together leading economists from multilateral institutions, research bodies, and the private sector to examine Cambodia’s economic trajectory, with a particular focus on the emerging impact of a global oil shock driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Panelists indicated that while earlier forecasts had pointed to growth above 5%, current trends suggest downside risks are increasing, with rising energy costs expected to weigh on inflation, business activity, and household consumption in the months ahead. The session featured five economists representing a range of perspectives across institutions and sectors: H.E. Dr. Sereyvath Ky, Director General of the Institute of China Studies at the Royal Academy of Cambodia and Professor in Economics at CamEd Business School Milan Thomas, Country Economist at the Asian Development Bank in Cambodia Dina Chhorn, Centre Director of Development Economics and Trade at the Cambodia Development Resource Institute (CDRI) Faya Hayati, Senior Economist at the World Bank Stephen Higgins, Founder and Managing Partne