东盟与中日韩宏观经济研究办公室预测柬埔寨2026年经济增速放缓至4.3%

分类经济
地点金边
来源柬埔寨投资评论
发布时间2026/04/30 10:47
详情描述
东盟与中日韩宏观经济研究办公室(AMRO)发布最新评估报告显示,柬埔寨经济增速预计将从2025年的5.3%放缓至2026年的4.3%。
报告指出,柬埔寨2025年的经济表现得益于服装出口的强劲增长、外国直接投资的持续流入以及政策的快速响应。然而,2026年的经济前景面临多重外部压力,主要受全球油价上涨、旅游业收入疲软,以及全球贸易紧张局势和地缘政治发展带来的不确定性影响。
在物价方面,柬埔寨的通胀率预计将从2025年的2.5%上升至2026年的3.9%,能源成本上涨是推动通胀的主要因素。此外,外部经济状况预计将有所减弱,经常账户赤字占国内生产总值的比例预计将从2025年的3.6%扩大至2026年的8.5%。
针对上述挑战,东盟与中日韩宏观经济研究办公室建议柬埔寨政府采取针对性的财政支持措施,加强银行体系的稳健性,并加速推进结构性改革。
📋 简要摘要 ▸
东盟与中日韩宏观经济研究办公室(AMRO)最新报告显示,受全球油价上涨及外部不确定性影响,柬埔寨2026年经济增速预计从2025年的5.3%放缓至4.3%。通胀率预计升至3.9%,经常账户赤字将扩大至8.5%。报告建议政府采取针对性财政支持,加强银行体系并加速结构性改革以应对挑战。
📋 完整原文 ▸
[来源: CIR] [分类提示: NEWS]
标题: Cambodia Urged to Deploy Targeted Fiscal Support, Strengthen Banks and Accelerate Reforms as Growth Slows in 2026, Says ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office
Cambodia Investment Review
Cambodia’s economic growth is expected to slow in 2026 as rising global oil prices and external uncertainties weigh on the country’s outlook, according to a new assessment by the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office.
The regional macroeconomic surveillance body said Cambodia’s economy expanded by an estimated 5.3 percent in 2025, demonstrating resilience amid global shocks, but is projected to moderate further to 4.3 percent in 2026.
Growth outlook faces external pressure
AMRO said Cambodia’s performance in 2025 was supported by strong garment exports, continued foreign direct investment inflows, and relatively swift policy responses.
Read More: Blockchain-Based Platform ‘Bakong’ Could Further Transform Financial Inclusion — If Cambodia Closes Trust and Cash Gaps: AMRO Report 2025
However, the outlook for 2026 is increasingly constrained by higher global oil prices, weaker tourism receipts, and ongoing uncertainty linked to global trade tensions and geopolitical developments.
Inflation, which averaged 2.5 percent in 2025, is projected to rise to 3.9 percent in 2026, largely driven by energy costs.
The country’s external position is also expected to weaken. The current account deficit widened to 3.6 percent of GDP in 2025 and is forecast to expand significantly to 8.5 percent in 2026, refle