亚行下调柬埔寨2026年增长预期至3.9%
分类经济
事件时间2026-09-23
地点金边
来源Cambodia Investment Review
发布时间2026/09/23 09:09
详情描述
亚洲开发银行于2026年9月23日发布《2026年9月亚洲发展展望》报告，将柬埔寨2026年的经济增长预期从7月份预测的4.1%下调至3.9%。此次调整的主要原因是旅游业活动表现疲软，对服务业造成了负面影响。
尽管面临旅游业的挑战，亚洲开发银行驻柬埔寨主任亚斯敏·西迪基表示，柬埔寨经济仍展现出韧性。制造业出口的强劲表现以及外国直接投资的持续流入，在一定程度上抵消了旅游业下滑带来的压力。
数据显示，工业依然是柬埔寨经济扩张的主要引擎。2026年上半年，柬埔寨非成衣制造业出口同比增长38.4%。这一增长反映了柬埔寨正逐步向高附加值产品领域多元化发展，其中包括电子元件和汽车零部件等产品。
报告预计，柬埔寨经济将在2027年重回增长轨道，增长率有望达到4.7%。这一预期主要受制造业出口增长、出口多元化以及持续的外国直接投资驱动。此外，报告指出，进一步推进经济多元化、实施竞争力改革以及为弱势家庭提供支持，将是维持包容性增长的关键因素。
📋 简要摘要 ▸
亚洲开发银行将柬埔寨2026年经济增长预期从4.1%下调至3.9%，主要因旅游业活动疲软。预计2027年受制造业出口及多元化投资驱动，经济将重回增长轨道。
📋 完整原文 ▸
[来源: CIR] [分类提示: NEWS]
标题: ADB Cuts Cambodia’s 2026 Growth Forecast to 3.9% as Tourism Activity Weakens, Inflation forecast to accelerate to 4.7% in 2027
Cambodia Investment Review
Cambodia’s economy is expected to regain momentum in 2027, supported by manufacturing exports, foreign investment and economic diversification, according to the Asian Development Bank.
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has lowered its economic growth forecast for Cambodia to 3.9% in 2026, down from the 4.1% projected in July, as weaker tourism activity weighs on the country’s services sector.
Growth is forecast to accelerate to 4.7% in 2027, supported by resilient manufacturing, export diversification and continued foreign direct investment, according to the Asian Development Outlook September 2026 released on Wednesday.
“Cambodia’s economy continues to demonstrate resilience,” said ADB Country Director for Cambodia Yasmin Siddiqi.
She said strong manufacturing exports and investment inflows were helping to offset challenges facing tourism, while further economic diversification, competitiveness reforms and support for vulnerable households would be important for sustaining inclusive growth.
Manufacturing Remains Cambodia’s Main Growth Engine
Industry continues to drive Cambodia’s economic expansion, with non-garment manufactured exports rising 38.4% year on year during the first half of 2026.
The increase reflected Cambodia’s growing diversification into higher-value products, including electrical components, vehicle par